np.rate 返回用 x**24 求解多项式方程的利率。这有 24 个解决方案,其中一些可能是重复的,其中一些可能是复杂的。在这个特定数据的情况下:
pv = 50000
payment = 8584
mpr= np.rate(24, -payment, pv, 0.0)
np.pv(mpr, 24, payment)
# -49999.999999789325 This represents the 50000 pv
mpr
# -1.901406995298687 # mpr = -190.1% per month!
mpr1 = np.rate(24, -payment, pv, 0.0, guess = .15)
# guess lets you change the starting point for the search
mpr1
# 0.16750654293672343 # mar = 16.8% per month
np.pv(mpr1, 24, payment)
# -49999.99999999999
def apr(mpr, periods = 12):
""" apr is ( 1 + monthly_rate ) ** 12 - 1 """
return (1+mpr)**periods-1
apr(apr)
# -0.7122263079633477 apr = -71.2%
apr(mpr1)
# 5.4137477809069345 apr of 541.4%
即16.8% 和 -190.1% 都是方程的数学正确解。 -190.1% 在金融环境中没有多大意义。
这两个时期可能更容易理解。
loan_amount = 10
payment = 6
n_periods = 2
Solve 10 - 6r -6r**2
r = (6 +-sqrt(36-4*(-6)*10))/(2*-6)
r = -1.8844373105 and 0.8844373105
r = 1/(1+i) where i is the interest rate
i = 1/r - 1
r = -1.8844373105
1/r-1
# -1.5306623862879625
r1 = 0.8844373105
1/r1-1
# 0.13066238627435212
mpr = np.rate(2, -payment, loan_amount, 0.0)
mpr
# 0.13066238629183413
mpr1 = np.rate(2, -payment, loan_amount, 0.0, guess = -1.5)
mpr1
# -1.5306623862918336
在这种情况下,numpy 将求解两个速率,它们来自二次方程的两个根。
这可能无济于事,但确实解释了为什么np.rate(和np.irr)可以解决意外的答案。
编辑:
我意识到如果 r = 1/(1 + interest_rate) r 将只有一个真正的正解。这是通常最具商业意义的解决方案。
import numpy as np
"""
To simplify the analysis let
r = 1 / ( 1 + interest_rate )
p = periodic payments
n = number of periods
then:
pv = loan - p*r - p*r**2 - ... -p*r**n
dpv/dr = -p -2*p*r - ... -p*n*r**(n-1)
If r > 0 and p > 0 dpv/dr is negative
Therefore there is at most one solution to pv == 0 for r > 0.
pv == loan when r == 0
For large r -p*r**n will dominate and pv will be negative.
Therefore there will be one positive real solution to pv == 0
"""
def polynomial_from(nper, loan, pay):
""" Create numpy array to represent the polynomial """
return np.array([-pay]*nper+[loan])
# np.roots returns one root per nper. Filter to real roots only.
def real_roots(poly):
roots_ = np.roots(poly)
return roots_[np.isclose(roots_.imag, 0)].real
# return the real part of the roots- with a zero imaginary part
def feasible_rate(nper, loan, pay):
poly = polynomial_from(nper, loan, pay)
reals = real_roots(poly)
r = reals[reals>0][0] # r is the real root > 0
return 1/r - 1
def apr(int_rate, nperiods = 12):
return ( 1 + int_rate ) ** nperiods - 1
mpr = feasible_rate( 24, 50000, 8584 )
print( 'Monthly rate: {:%}, Annual Rate: {:%}'.format(mpr, apr(mpr)) )
# Monthly rate: 16.750654%, Annual Rate: 541.374778%